Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.001270 0.001335 0.001402 0.001476 0.001555 0.001637 0.001729
2025-06-29 0.001156 0.001249 0.001348 0.001461 0.001587 0.001723 0.001883
2025-07-06 0.001071 0.001181 0.001302 0.001444 0.001607 0.001790 0.002011
2025-07-13 0.000993 0.001113 0.001247 0.001409 0.001600 0.001819 0.002093
2025-07-20 0.000951 0.001082 0.001230 0.001413 0.001634 0.001895 0.002230
2025-07-27 0.000918 0.001058 0.001219 0.001422 0.001671 0.001973 0.002371
2025-08-03 0.000894 0.001042 0.001216 0.001438 0.001718 0.002063 0.002529
2025-08-10 0.000863 0.001016 0.001199 0.001435 0.001738 0.002120 0.002646
2025-08-17 0.000822 0.000976 0.001161 0.001405 0.001721 0.002125 0.002695
2025-08-24 0.000790 0.000945 0.001134 0.001386 0.001717 0.002148 0.002766
2025-08-31 0.000769 0.000928 0.001123 0.001386 0.001738 0.002203 0.002882
2025-09-07 0.000745 0.000904 0.001103 0.001374 0.001740 0.002231 0.002963
2025-09-14 0.000722 0.000884 0.001087 0.001368 0.001754 0.002280 0.003081
2025-09-21 0.000697 0.000860 0.001067 0.001356 0.001758 0.002316 0.003182
2025-09-28 0.000674 0.000836 0.001046 0.001341 0.001758 0.002345 0.003274
2025-10-05 0.000645 0.000806 0.001013 0.001309 0.001732 0.002336 0.003307
2025-10-12 0.000631 0.000794 0.001007 0.001313 0.001757 0.002402 0.003459
2025-10-19 0.000620 0.000785 0.001003 0.001321 0.001787 0.002476 0.003630
2025-10-26 0.000612 0.000781 0.001005 0.001336 0.001829 0.002569 0.003836
2025-11-02 0.000599 0.000768 0.000995 0.001333 0.001844 0.002621 0.003978
2025-11-09 0.000577 0.000744 0.000968 0.001305 0.001818 0.002609 0.004007
2025-11-16 0.000561 0.000725 0.000950 0.001288 0.001809 0.002621 0.004079
2025-11-23 0.000550 0.000716 0.000943 0.001289 0.001827 0.002677 0.004233